西門談浪

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 24 Sep   2022   The S&P 500 Index went down 4 . 65 % this week and closed at 3693 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The market continue to pull back and it easily break a few support levels this week, and achieve a new low at 3647 last Friday.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the Great Super Cycle 3, which divided into 5 Cycles. The Cycle 1 ends at 1576 in 2007, and after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while we’re in the Intermediate

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 1 7 Sep   2022   The S&P 500 Index went down 4 . 77 % this week and closed at 3873 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. As we expected last week, the market rally one more day and reached a rally high at 4119, with a large reversal on Tuesday follow by the continuous pull back by the rest of the week.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the Great Super Cycle 3, which divided into 5 Cycles. The Cycle 1 ends at 1576 in 2007, and after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III. In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has alre

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 10  Sep   2022   The S&P 500 Index went up  3 . 65 % this week and closed at 4067 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The market   finally managed to make a rally per our expectation last week, which may continue in the coming week, but will not change the longer term bear market.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the Great Super Cycle 3, which divided into 5 Cycles. The Cycle 1 ends at 1576 in 2007, and after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 48

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 3 Sep   2022   The S&P 500 Index went down 3 . 29 % this week and closed at 3924 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The market   continue the pull back without much meaning ful  fight except Thursday, but it turns out that the resistance seems useless in a bear market.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the Great Super Cycle 3, which divided into 5 Cycles. The Cycle 1 ends at 1576 in 2007, and after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while w