西門談浪 Simon Elliott Wave

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 26  Mar 2022   The S&P 500 Index went up 1 . 79 % this week and closed at 4543 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX continue it’s Minor B rally and go north in most of the trading days.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4819, while we’re in the Intermediate ii pull back. The initial target for Intermediate ii will be 3700.   In the short-term, Intermediate ii will have 3 Minor waves. The rally this week confirm

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 19  Mar 2022   The S&P 500 Index went up 6 . 16 % this week and closed at 4463 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX went down on Monday but did not get a new low, while managed to get a rocket rally for 4 days and confirmed the Minor A has finished.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4819, while we’re in the Intermediate ii pull back. The initial target for Intermediate ii will be 3700.   In the short-term, Inte

Weekly S&P 500 Review - 12 Mar 2022 T he S&P 500 Index went down 2 . 88 % this week and closed at 4 204 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX went down for the first 2 days with a weekly low on March 8 th  , tried to rally in the middle of the week but fail to sustain it.   O ur long-term labeling  on the SPX is after the Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009, we’re in the Cycle 3 bull market. Cycle 3 wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4819, while we’re in the Intermediate ii pull back. The initial target for Intermediate ii will be 3700.   In the short-term, Intermedi

本周SPX (標普500) 指數 下跌1 . 27 %，收於43 29 點。我們繼續維持中期趨勢是下跌趨勢。本周 市場嘗試反彈，周四一度創出反彈新高4417點，但是後繼無力。我們繼續維持上周的判斷，把4115點作爲 Minor A 浪的結束。   我們長期對於SPX指數的判斷，是2009年熊市的Cycle 2在667點結束之後，我們進入了Cycle 3 的牛市。Cycle 3細分成爲5個Primary浪，其中Primary I在2015年的2134點結束(上漲1467點)，Primary II在2016年的1810點結束，我們之後進入Primary III浪。   中期而言，Primary III又細分成5個Major浪， Major 1 浪 在2020年的3394點(上漲1583點)，Major 2浪在2192點，之後我們進入了Major 3浪。Major 3浪又細分成5個Intermediate浪，其中Intermediate i浪已經在4819點結束，我們進入Intermediate ii浪下跌，我們給Intermediate ii浪的初步目標是3700點。   短期來説， Intermediate ii浪會分爲3個Minor浪。 其中 Minor A 浪在4115點結束 ( 4223點是Minute a浪，4590點是Minute b浪 )， 我們 目前正在 Minor B浪反彈 之中。 Minor B 浪的反彈有可能已經在4417點結束，也可能下周仍然會持續，我們期待市場給出答案 。   下週短期的支持位是4279和3950點，阻力位在4394和4465點。短期的MACD 進入牛交叉 ， RSI在週五收市處在平衡狀態。  ***********   Weekly S &P 500 Review - 4 Mar 2022   T he S&P 500 Index went down 1.27% this week and closed at 4 3 29. We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX tried to rally for the week and with a new bounce high at