西門談浪

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 26  Feb 2023   The S&P 500 Index went down   2 . 67 % this week and closed at 3970 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX finally choose the direction to move down with closing below 4000, which helped us to confirm the Minor B finished at 4195.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the  Super Cycle 3 , after   Super Cycle 1 bull ends at 1576 in 2007, and  Super  Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009 . W e’re in the Cycle 1  bull market  of Super Cycle 3 . Cycle 1  wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while we’re in the Inter

Weekly S &P 500  Review - 19 Feb 2023   The S&P 500 Index went down   0 . 28 % this week and closed at 4079 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX continue to look for direction this week with little moves, thus we keep the tentative Minor B unchanged.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the  Super Cycle 3 , after   Super Cycle 1 bull ends at 1576 in 2007, and  Super  Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009 . W e’re in the Cycle 1  bull market  of Super Cycle 3 . Cycle 1  wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while we’re in the Intermediate ii pull back.

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 12 Feb 2023   The S&P 500 Index went down  1 . 11 % this week and closed at 4090 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX index face some resistance at 4178 pivot this week and went down, thus it sets the index in the cross road now.   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the  Super Cycle 3 , after   Super Cycle 1 bull ends at 1576 in 2007, and  Super  Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009 . W e’re in the Cycle 1  bull market  of Super Cycle 3 . Cycle 1  wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while we’re in the Intermediate ii pul

  Weekly S &P 500  Review - 5 Feb 2023   The S&P 500 Index went up   1 . 62 % this week and closed at 4 136 . We continue to maintain the medium-term trend as a downtrend. The SPX index continue to move up  and break through 4100 level, and as promised we will add a possible bull count on this .   Our long-term labeling  on the SPX is  we are in the  Super Cycle 3 , after   Super Cycle 1 bull ends at 1576 in 2007, and  Super  Cycle 2 bear market ends at 667 in 2009 . W e’re in the Cycle 1  bull market  of Super Cycle 3 . Cycle 1  wave have 5 primary waves, and Primary I finished at 2134 in 2015 (with 1467 points), and Primary II ended at 1810 in 2016, then we proceed to Primary III.   In the medium-term, Primary III has 5 Major waves, where Major 1 closed at 3394 in 2020 (with 1583 points), and Major 2 ended at 2192, and we’re in Major 3 now. The Major 3 wave will have 5 Intermediate waves,  and the Intermediate i has already finished at 4818, while we’re in the Intermediate ii